Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

AC

ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. (ACR)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 delivered GAAP diluted EPS of $0.36, up both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, with net income allocable to common at $2.8M, supported by a $2.8M gain on conversion to REO and modest CECL reserve decrease; total revenues were $22.353M, down 6.9% YoY but up vs Q2 .
  • Earnings Available for Distribution (EAD) fell to $0.24 per diluted share from $0.51 in Q2, driven by lower real estate operations (-$0.14), higher preferred dividend costs from Series C moving to floating (-$0.06), and lower net interest income (-$0.04) .
  • Book value per share rose to $27.92 (from $27.20 in Q2), with $1.7M of buybacks (114K shares) executed at ~46% discount to book; $2.3M remains on the plan, and liquidity stood at $79.7M at quarter-end .
  • Management is actively monetizing REO assets (FSU student housing opened at 95% occupancy; three additional sales in process) and is preparing for a new CRE CLO to re-lever and pursue mid- to high-teens ROEs; trajectory toward a “market-based dividend” over the next 12 months is a stated goal .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • GAAP EPS improved to $0.36; book value increased to $27.92, aided by REO conversion gains and buybacks at a large discount to book .
    • Portfolio performance remained stable: 94% of CRE loans current; WA risk rating held at 2.7; weighted average spread steady around BR + 3.73% .
    • Clear capital allocation roadmap: monetization of REO assets underway (FSU student housing at 95% occupancy) with intent to redeploy into originations and pursue new CLO financing to restore earnings power .
  • What Went Wrong

    • EAD per share declined materially to $0.24 (from $0.51 in Q2), reflecting lower real estate operations, higher preferred dividends from Series C floating, and lower NII due to paydowns and deleveraging .
    • Revenues declined YoY to $22.353M from $24.006M amid portfolio runoff and lower net interest income vs prior year .
    • Liquidity decreased to $79.7M (from $98.4M in Q2), while CLO paydowns continued to delever the platform, pressuring near-term EAD until new financing is executed .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$24.006 $20.936 $22.353
Net Income Allocable to Common ($USD Millions)$2.870 $1.653 $2.824
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.33 $0.21 $0.36
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$14.653 $10.755 $10.459
Net Income Margin (%)12.0% 7.9% 12.6%

Segment-like portfolio composition (property type mix):

Property Type (% of CRE loan carrying value)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Multifamily79.1% 79.4% 79.4%
Office13.5% 13.7% 14.0%
Hotel4.1% 4.0% 4.3%
Self-storage2.8% 2.9% 2.3%
Retail0.5%

Key Performance Indicators:

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
EAD per Share – Diluted ($USD)$0.16 $0.51 $0.24
Book Value per Share ($USD)$27.25 $27.20 $27.92
Total Liquidity ($USD Millions)$92.1 $98.4 $79.7
Net CRE Loan Repayments ($USD Millions)$69.4 $61.9 $110.7
% of CRE Loan Par Current on Payments92% 94% 94%
Loans Rated 4 or 5 (% of Par)17% 21% 23%
WA Spread on CRE Whole LoansBR + 3.78% BR + 3.75% BR + 3.73%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend policy (Common)Forward 12 monthsNo formal common dividend guidance; focus on monetizationTargeting a “market-based dividend” over forward 12 months as earnings normalize and re-levering occurs Raised tone toward reinstatement
REO MonetizationQ4 2024–Q1 2025Active monetization programThree additional asset sales in process; expectation to complete much of the work over next two quarters; book value impact “flat to better” Increased visibility and timing clarity
CLO Issuance / Re-leveringNear-termDeleveraging due to paydowns in existing CLOsExploring a new CRE CLO; aiming for mid- to high-teens ROE on structure given current market; plan development underway Strategic intent outlined
Share RepurchasesQ3 2024$4.1M remained at 6/30/24 $1.7M used in Q3 (114K shares) at ~46% discount to BV; $2.3M remains Authorization usage progressed
Preferred Dividends (Series C)Q3 2024Fixed-to-floating transition effective 7/30/24Floating rate increased preferred dividend burden; EAD headwind ~$0.06 per share Cost increased due to rate reset

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
REO monetization and asset salesQ1: $5.835M gain on conversion; program underway $2.8M gain on conversion to REO; FSU student housing opened 95% occupancy; 3 additional asset sales in process over next two quarters Accelerating monetization; positive book value trajectory
CECL reserves1.89% at Q1; 2.04% at Q2 Total allowance $34.7M; reserve decreased $0.291M QoQ; reserve ratio cited at 2.19% Ratio up vs Q1/Q2, but modelled reserve decreased QoQ; mixed
Liquidity and leverageLiquidity $92.1M (Q1), $98.4M (Q2) Liquidity $79.7M; leverage down to 3.3x from 3.6x on paydowns Liquidity lower; leverage improving
Loan performance and risk% current improved 92%→94%; WA risk rating ~2.6–2.7 94% current; WA risk rating 2.7; loans rated 4/5 rose to 23% of par Stable performance; risk skew modestly higher
CLO strategy / financingWACC and asset-specific financing outlined Evaluating new CLO; targeting mid- to high-teens ROE; market spreads wider but ROE acceptable Re-levering in focus

Management Commentary

  • “We are proud of the diligent efforts of the ACRES team in maintaining a robust and high-quality investment portfolio. Our unwavering focus remains on identifying high-quality opportunities while steadfastly protecting and enhancing shareholder value.” — Mark Fogel, President & CEO (press release) .
  • “Loan payoffs during the period were $118.1 million… producing a net decrease to the loan portfolio of $134.4 million… weighted average spread… 3.73% over 1-month term SOFR… we recorded a $2.8 million unrealized gain based on market offers for the [Austin] property.” — Mark Fogel (prepared remarks) .
  • “GAAP net income allocable to common shares… $2.8 million or $0.36… we saw a decrease to CECL reserves of $291,000… EAD… $0.24 per share as compared to $0.51… primarily resulted from a $0.14 decrease in real estate operations, a $0.06 [increase in] preferred stock dividends… and a $0.04 run rate decline in net interest income.” — Eldron Blackwell, CFO .
  • “We expect… over the next 2 quarters… much of that [REO monetization] work will be completed… directionally… book value per share… flat to better… [then] redeploy that capital back into the loan book… and drive to a market-based dividend over the forward 12 months.” — Andrew Fentress, Chairman .

Q&A Highlights

  • Dividend trajectory: Management intends to monetize assets, re-lever, and “pay out of EAD a dividend” that grows as earnings normalize; CLO issuance is a key lever to restore earnings capacity .
  • Buybacks: $1.7M used in Q3 to repurchase 114K shares at ~46% discount to book; ~$2.3M remains authorized .
  • REO sales pipeline: Beyond FSU student housing, “three others” are in process with high certainty of execution over next two quarters .
  • CLO economics: New deal spreads wider than legacy, but management targets mid- to high-teens ROE given collateral/pipeline, contingent on CLO market stability .
  • EAD treatment: The unrealized gain from REO conversion will flow through EAD when monetized, improving distributable earnings on realization .
  • Credit migration: A loan rated “4” converted to REO as borrower issues escalated; active management remains the remedy .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2024 EPS and Revenue was unavailable in this session due to API limits. As a result, we cannot formally classify beats/misses versus consensus at this time. Investors should focus on GAAP diluted EPS rising to $0.36 and EAD per share declining to $0.24, with management signaling near-term asset monetization and potential re-levering to restore earnings power .
  • Expect analysts to adjust EAD forecasts lower near term (Series C floating dividend cost, deleveraging), with potential upward revisions contingent on successful REO monetization, redeployment into new originations, and timing of a new CLO .
  • Note: Consensus estimates via S&P Global were not retrievable; please treat estimate comparisons as unavailable for this recap.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term earnings pressure: EAD fell to $0.24/share on higher preferred dividend cost, lower real estate contribution, and NII headwinds from portfolio paydowns; GAAP EPS benefited from a $2.8M REO conversion gain .
  • Capital recycling catalyst: FSU student housing at 95% occupancy and three additional REO sales in process set up capital redeployment and possible realization of gains (to flow through EAD when monetized) .
  • Book value accretion: Buybacks at ~46% discount to book and potential gains from monetizations support book value per share, which rose to $27.92 .
  • Re-levering roadmap: Management is actively evaluating a new CRE CLO with targeted mid- to high-teens ROE; execution would be a key inflection for EAD and dividend capacity .
  • Stable credit performance: 94% of loans current; WA risk rating steady at 2.7; CECL allowance $34.7M, with a small QoQ decrease, though reserve ratio cited at 2.19% .
  • Liquidity tighter but adequate: Liquidity of $79.7M and leverage down to 3.3x; monetizations and financing execution are critical for rebuilding earnings while maintaining prudent liquidity .
  • Trading implications: Shares remain sensitive to concrete updates on REO sales, CLO timing/terms, and dividend trajectory; confirmation of asset sales and financing could catalyze rerating, while delays could extend EAD softness .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

Book Value, Liquidity, Leverage:

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Book Value per Share ($USD)$27.25 $27.20 $27.92
Total Liquidity ($USD Millions)$92.1 $98.4 $79.7
GAAP Debt-to-Equity Leverage (x)3.7x 3.6x 3.3x

Preferred Dividend Details (Series C reset):

SeriesQ3 2024 Dividend DetailNotes
Series C (8.625% Fixed-to-Floating)$0.6988981 per share (11.18237% annualized: 3M Term SOFR + 5.927%) Floating rate from July 30, 2024; EAD headwind ~$0.06/share
Series D (7.875% Fixed)$0.4921875 per share Fixed coupon